10. januar 2010

Is Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, CIA og Eurostat wrong while Politiken is right?

Max Planck Intitute for Demographic Research reports further that the total fertility among women is 1.4 child in Austria, and this number has been persistently stable since the midd 1980s. Eurostat (the Statical Bureau of EU) reported in 2004 that total fertility in Austria was 1.42. In 2005 CIA reported that the total fertility in Austria was 1.36. We know immigrant women from South Asia, the Middle East and Africa give birth to 3-4 children in average. The foreign ethnic fertilty is then 3 to 4 in average. For the total fertility to end up at 1.4 in the country a certain percentage of foreign women has contributed to the births, and a another certain percentage of Austrian women has to give other child-births.

Total fertility in Denmark according to https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/da.html were estimated to 1.74 child per woman in 2009.

On this background we have insurmountable problems to understand what we read in Politiken 7 December 2009

As there is a coherence between the percentage of birth-giving women, percentage of population, the fertility among the birth-giving women and the total fertility, it is possible to calculate/estimate the fertility  to about 1 child among Austrian women, when we have information about the percentage of non-Austrian (>16.6%) and about the total fertility in Austria (1.4 child).

Absolutely none of the results we get on this basic harmonize in any way to any degree with the official information we get about Danish Demografic relations.

The information on Austria originate from Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, and the information (different from the official one) about Danish Demografic relations or about other European Demografic relations that matches the present reported information about Austria, originate from Information of Denmark

Official reliable version

Calculating version with the exposure using the official Austrian information approved by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

2 kommentarer »

  1. […] Try Austria, CIA and Max Planck Institute for Demografic research: https://danmark.wordpress.com/2010/01/10/tager-max-planck-for-demographic-research-cia-og-eurostat-fe… […]

    Pingback af Politiken og dens kilder skrev lodret usandt om fertiliteten « Danmark — 10. januar 2010 @ 17:24

  2. […] Austria, CIA and Max Planck Institute for Demografic Research: https://danmark.wordpress.com/2010/01/10/tager-max-planck-for-demographic-research-cia-og-eurostat-fe… Skriv en […]

    Pingback af Politiken and its sources definitely misinform us « Danmark — 10. januar 2010 @ 17:26

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