8. november 2006

The World’s Lowest Number of Child-births in German

Lowest number of child-births in German since last war

Lowest number of children per woman in Germany. 680.000 children in 2005, the lowest number since 1946 we read on Danish TTV1 26 Mars 2006. If you know the truth you could get the thought that this information was produced a little before 1946 in Germany. 

Birth-frequency 1,36 as the total birth-frequency of women in Germany is reported as such on: http://epp.eurostat.cec.eu.int/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-AF-05-001/EN/KS-AF-05-001-EN.PDF page 16 and on http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/uk.html

You can try: http://tyskland.konservativungdom.dk/artikler/artikler/die-frauen-union/ and find 1,2 child as fertility that is not birth-frequency varying with the number birthgiven women from year to year.

But something much more imported has been consciously ignored:
The total fertility as we read it reported can also be calculated by a weighed mean of the single average fertilities of the Westerners and of the Non-Westeners respectively,

X: the percentage of birthgiving Non-Westeners

1-X: the percentage of birthgiving Westeners

Fertility of Etnic German women (arithmetric average): Fy

Non-Westeners’ fertility has been calculated in Italy to 3.5 child. If you assume the percentage of Non-Westerners in Germany to 15 per cent (notice: inclusive naturalized and their children before and after the naturalization)

Then: 3.5*0.15 + Fy(1-0.85) = 1.36 that implies Fy = 0.98

Remember: “Six Good Reasons to count the Immigrants correctly”: https://danmark.wordpress.com/2006/11/04/six-goid-reasons-to-count-the-immigrants-in-europe-correctly/

If 3.5 are exchanged with 3.0, you get Fy= 1.07 child per Etnic German woman. You can also vary the percentage of Non-Westeners, as long as it is not calculated correctly anywhere else in Europe:

Danish correction: http://www.lilliput-information.com/uscan.html  

8 November 2006

J. E. Vig

2 kommentarer »

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    Pingback af All Posts on http://Danmark.Wordpress.com « Danmark — 17. marts 2009 @ 23:47

  2. […] 8.      https://danmark.wordpress.com/2006/11/08/the-worlds-lowest-number-of-child-births-in-german-2/ […]

    Pingback af Women in Austria: Persistent low fertility since 1980s « Dissidentpress — 18. april 2009 @ 21:16

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